{"id":92174,"date":"2021-11-04T23:41:38","date_gmt":"2021-11-04T15:41:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/?p=92174"},"modified":"2021-11-04T23:42:41","modified_gmt":"2021-11-04T15:42:41","slug":"ac3cf6cb08","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/?p=92174","title":{"rendered":"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f \u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
<\/section>\n
\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u91cf\u5b50\u5b66\u6d3e\uff08ID\uff1aquantumschool\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n

\n

\u6ca1\u6709\u8c01\u80fd\u8bf4\u670d\u4e00\u4e2a\u5815\u843d\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4eba\u683c\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u7406\u6027\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u522b\u518d\u8ff7\u604b\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u8fd0\u6c14\u3002\u8d4c\u5f92\u80fd\u591f\u4f9d\u9760\u7684\u662f\u7956\u5b97\u4fdd\u4f51\uff0c\u800c\u8d4c\u573a\u540e\u9762\u7684\u5927\u4f6c\u662f\u9ad8\u65af\u3001\u51ef\u5229\u3001\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5927\u795e\u3002\u4f60\u600e\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u5e84\u5bb6\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u5f92\u8ff7\u4fe1\u7684\u662f\u8fd0\u6c14\u3001\u8d4c\u573a\u76f8\u4fe1\u7684\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u738b\u4f55\u9e3f\u71ca\u63a5\u624b\u8461\u4eac\u8d4c\u573a\u65f6\uff0c\u4e1a\u52a1\u84b8\u84b8\u65e5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u7406\u6027\u7684\u8d4c\u738b\u4ecd\u7136\u5fd0\u5fd1\uff0c\u8bf7\u6559\u201c\u8d4c\u795e\u201d\u53f6\u6c49\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d4c\u5ba2\u603b\u662f\u8f93\uff0c\u957f\u6b64\u4ee5\u5f80\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u6765\u4e86\u600e\u4e48\u529e\uff1f\u201d\u53f6\u6c49\u7b11\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4e00\u6b21\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u4e00\u4e16\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\u8d4c\u573a\u4e0d\u5728\u600e\u4e48\u529e\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u53f6\u6c49\u8bf4\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u5fc3\u7406\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u8d4c\u573a\u7a0b\u5e8f\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u6bd4\u53f6\u6c49\u5f53\u5e74\u8981\u7f1c\u5bc6\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u8d4c\u573a\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e86\u6982\u7387\u3001\u7ea7\u6570\u3001\u6781\u9650\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u666e\u901a\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u957f\u4e45\u8d4c\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u8840\u672c\u65e0\u5f52\uff0c\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u81f4\u80dc\u7edd\u6280\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u7535\u5f71\u91cc\u7684\u5468\u661f\u661f\uff0c\u73b0\u5b9e\u91cc\u7684\u5468\u661f\u9a70\u90fd\u4e0d\u4fe1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u5f92\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u660e\u767d\uff0c\u4e0e\u81ea\u5df1\u5bf9\u8d4c\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u8fd0\u6c14\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5728\u4e0e\u72c4\u5229\u514b\u96f7\u3001\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u3001\u9ad8\u65af\u3001\u7eb3\u4ec0\u3001\u51ef\u5229\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5927\u5e08\u5bf9\u51b3\u6570\u5b66\uff0c\u8d62\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u80fd\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u770b\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u662f\u6982\u7387<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u770b\u4e0d\u89c1\u7684\u662f\u9677\u9631<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u4eec\u5148\u8bf4\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8d4c\u535a\u6e38\u620f\uff1a\u8d4c\u8fd0\u6c14\u731c\u786c\u5e01\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u89c4\u5219\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u63b7\u786c\u5e01\uff0c\u6b63\u9762\u8d62\u53cd\u9762\u8f93\uff0c\u8d62\u4e86\u53ef\u4ee5\u62ff\u8d70\u4e00\u500d\u7684\u94b1\uff0c\u8f93\u4e86\u4f1a\u8d54\u6389\u672c\u91d1\uff0c\u4f60\u73a9\u4e0d\u73a9\uff1f\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u89c9\u5f97\uff0c\u5509\uff0c\u8fd9\u6e38\u620f\u4e0d\u9519\uff0c\u516c\u5e73\uff01\u6070\u597d\u8fd0\u6c14\u4e5f\u4e0d\u9519\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u628a\u8d62\u4e86100\u5143\uff01\u4f60\u9ad8\u5174\u574f\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u65f6\u5019\u5e84\u5bb6\u8ddf\u4f60\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f60\u770b\u4f60\u4e5f\u8d62\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\uff0c\u6211\u5462\uff0c\u8f9b\u8f9b\u82e6\u82e6\u642d\u4e2a\u573a\u5b50\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u6ca1\u635e\u7740\uff0c\u8981\u4e0d\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4f60\u8d62\u4e86\uff0c\u5c31\u7ed9\u6211\u7559\u4e0b2\uff05\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u662f\u6551\u6d4e\u6551\u6d4e\u8001\u54e5\uff0c\u7ed9\u6367\u6367\u573a\uff01\u4f60\u4e00\u542c\uff0c2\uff05\uff0c\u624d\u8fd9\u4e48\u70b9\uff0c\u62ff\u53bb\u5427\uff0c\u4e0d\u5dee\u94b1\uff01\u597d\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e8b\u5c31\u8fd9\u4e48\u5b9a\u4e0b\u6765\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u7136\u800c\u4f60\u505a\u68a6\u90fd\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u5c0f\u5c0f\u76842\uff05\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u5374\u8ba9\u4f60\u8f93\u5f97\u503e\u5bb6\u8361\u4ea7\u3001\u5bb6\u7834\u4eba\u4ea1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u5c0f\u5c0f\u76842\u4e2a\u70b9\u7684\u8d62\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8c8c\u4f3c\u4e0d\u8d77\u773c\uff0c\u4f46\u914d\u4e0a\u201c\u5927\u6570\u6cd5\u5219\u201d\uff0c\u5c31\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u8d4c\u573a\u8d5a\u94b1\u7684\u5229\u5668\uff01\u201c\u5927\u6570\u6cd5\u5219\u201d\u662f\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u63d0\u51fa\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u8bf4\u7684\u662f\u5047\u8bben(a)\u662fn\u6b21\u72ec\u7acb\u91cd\u590d\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u53d1\u751fa\u7684\u6b21\u6570\uff0cp\u662f\u6bcf\u6b21\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53d1\u751fa\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u5f53n\u8db3\u591f\u5927\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5bf9\u4efb\u610f\u6b63\u6570\u03b5\uff0c\u6709lim{[|(n(a)\/n)| p]<\u03b5}=1\uff0c\u516c\u5f0f\u8fd9\u4e48\u590d\u6742\uff0c99%\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\u90fd\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\uff0c\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\u6ca1\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u770b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5e84\u5bb6\u8d62\u5230\u7684\u94b1=0.02*a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5e84\u5bb6\u8d5a\u7684\u94b1\u6700\u7ec8\u53ea\u8ddf\u73a9\u5bb6\u4e0b\u6ce8\u5927\u5c0f\u6709\u5173\uff01\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5e38\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u6d41\u6c34\u201d\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u73a9\u5bb6\u4e0d\u505c\u5730\u73a9\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0d\u505c\u5730\u8d5a\uff01\u800c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u73a9\u5bb6\u662f\u8f93\u662f\u8d62\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u8d62\u7684\uff01\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8d4c\u573a\u6709\u201c\u6700\u5c0f\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6269\u5927\u201c\u6d41\u6c34\u201d\u624d\u80fd\u5c06\u5229\u6da6\u6700\u5927\u5316\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6240\u4ee5\u522b\u4ee5\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u591a\u806a\u660e\uff0c\u4f60\u8981\u5e86\u5e78\u81ea\u5df1\u73a9\u5f97\u4e0d\u591f\u4e45\u800c\u5df2\uff0c\u5341\u8d4c\u4e5d\u8f93\u6b63\u6e90\u4e8e\u6b64\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u53ea\u8981\u8fdb\u4e86\u8d4c\u573a\u4f60\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7a77\u9b3c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u4eec\u518d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5747\u7b49\uff0c\u4f60\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f93\u5bb6\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u201c\u65e0\u9650\u8d22\u5bcc\u201d\u548c\u201c\u8d4c\u5f92\u8f93\u5149\u5b9a\u5f8b\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b9a\u7406\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5982\u201c\u59d3\u6c0f\u6d88\u4ea1\u201d\u201c\u7ebf\u7c92\u4f53\u590f\u5a03\u5047\u8bf4\u201d\uff0c\u5728\u6982\u7387\u5747\u7b49\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8c01\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u5927\uff0c\u8c01\u7684\u8d62\u7387\u9ad8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4f60\u548c\u6211\u5bf9\u8d4c\uff0c\u4f60\u6211\u5404\u67095\u5757\u94b1\uff0c\u8f93\u5149\u4e3a\u6b62\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u8d62\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f50%\uff0c\u8f93\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e5f\u662f50%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4f60\u548c\u6211\u5bf9\u8d4c\uff0c\u4f60\u67095\u5757\u94b1\uff0c\u6211\u670910\u5757\u94b1\uff0c\u8f93\u5149\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u8d62\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u53ea\u670933.3%\uff0c\u800c\u8f93\u7684\u6982\u7387\u670966.7%\uff08\u8fd9\u91cc\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u9ad8\u65af\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u548c\u6cf0\u52d2\u7684\u7ea7\u6570\u8bba\uff09\uff0c\u540e\u9762\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u8d4c\u573a\u5927BOSS\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u540e\u9762\u5c0f\u8282\u91cc\u5c06\u8be6\u52a0\u8868\u8ff0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5c0f\u6563\u6237\uff0c\u8d4c\u573a\u4e00\u822c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8d22\u5bcc\u662f\u65e0\u9650\u591a\u7684\uff0c\u4f60\u8d62\u4e0d\u57ae\u5b83\uff0c\u5b83\u5374\u80fd\u5403\u4e86\u4f60\u3002\u5728\u8d4c\u573a\u8001\u677f\u7684\u773c\u91cc\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u53ea\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u4eba\uff1a\u4e00\u79cd\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u7a77\u9b3c\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u672a\u6765\u662f\u7a77\u9b3c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u201c\u65e0\u9650\u8d22\u5bcc\u5b9a\u5f8b\u201d\u4e5f\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u8d4c\u573a\u8bbe\u7f6e\u6700\u5927\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u4e0d\u662f\u8001\u677f\u597d\u5fc3\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d4c\u5f92\u514d\u906d\u7834\u4ea7\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u8001\u677f\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\u8bbe\u7f6e\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5c4f\u969c\uff0c\u60f3\u8c61\u4e0b\u4e07\u4e00\u54ea\u5929\u6bd4\u5c14\u76d6\u8328\u53bb\u8d4c\u573a\u627e\u4e50\u5b50\uff0c\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u7838\u4e2a\u51e0\u767e\u4ebf\u8fdb\u53bb\uff0c\u90a3\u8d4c\u573a\u8001\u677f\u771f\u7684\u8981\u54ed\u4e86\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e0d\u9632\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8d4c\u573a\u6839\u636e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u80fd\u529b\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6700\u9ad8\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u62b5\u6297\u201c\u65e0\u9650\u8d22\u5bcc\u5b9a\u7406\u201d\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u573a\u5927BOSS\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a\u5148\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u600e\u4e48\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5176\u5b9e\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u51ef\u5229\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d44\u6df1\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u8457\u540d\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ed6\u53d1\u660e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u6b63\u662f\u8457\u540d\u8d1d\u5c14\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u7814\u7a76\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u662f\u5f53\u65f6\u8fd8\u7b97\u65b0\u5174\u524d\u6cbf\u7684\u7535\u89c6\u4fe1\u53f7\u4f20\u8f93\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u573a\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8bb2\u516c\u5f0f\u524d\u518d\u5356\u4e2a\u5173\u5b50\uff0c\u5148\u6765\u770b\u4e00\u573a\u8d4c\u5c40\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5047\u8bbe\u60a8\u6709100\u7f8e\u91d1\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u9879\u629b\u786c\u5e01\u6e38\u620f\u2014\u2014\u5982\u679c\u786c\u5e01\u4e3a\u6b63\u9762\uff0c\u60a81\u7f8e\u5143\u5c31\u8d622\u7f8e\u5143;\u5982\u679c\u786c\u5e01\u4e3a\u53cd\u9762\uff0c\u60a8\u5c31\u8f931\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u60a8\u6bcf\u6b21\u8be5\u6295\u5165\u672c\u91d1\u7684\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u591a\u5c11\u6765\u83b7\u5f97\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5316\u5462?<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u672c\u4eba\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u611f\u89c9\u662f\u2014\u2014\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5427\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6709\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u4f3c\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u544a\u8bc9\u60a8\uff1a25%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f(Kelly formula)\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48?<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n

\n
\n
\n

f*=\uff08bp-q)\/b<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

b = \u8d54\u7387\uff08\u8d54\u7387\uff1d\u671f\u671b\u76c8\u5229\u00f7\u53ef\u80fd\u4e8f\u635f=2\u7f8e\u5143\u76c8\u5229\u00f71\u7f8e\u5143\u4e8f\u635f\uff0c\u8d54\u7387\u5c31\u662f2\u4e86\uff09<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

p = \u6210\u529f\u6982\u7387\uff08\u629b\u786c\u5e01\u6b63\u53cd\u9762\u90fd\u662f50%\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff09<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

q = \u5931\u8d25\u6982\u7387 \uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f 1-p\uff0c\u8d4c\u5c40\u4e2d\u4e5f\u662f50%\u4e86 \uff09<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9762\u6e38\u620f\u4e3a\u4f8b\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5c31\u662f(bp-q)\u00f7 b =(2 * 50%-50%)\u00f7 2= 25%\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4ece\u516c\u5f0f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u6211\u4eec\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\u542f\u53d1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u53ea\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u8d62\u9762(bp – q)\u4e3a\u6b63\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6e38\u620f\u624d\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u5207\u8d4c\u620f\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u524d\u9762\u8bb2\u7684”\u6ca1\u6709\u628a\u63e1\uff0c\u51b3\u4e0d\u4e0b\u6ce8”\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8d62\u9762\u8fd8\u8981\u9664\u4ee5\u201cb\u201d\u624d\u662f\u6295\u6ce8\u8d44\u91d1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u8d62\u9762\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8d54\u7387\u8d8a\u5c0f\u8d8a\u53ef\u4ee5\u591a\u62bc\u6ce8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u770b\u4f8b\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u7528\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u201c\u5c0f\u535a\u5927\u201d\u6e38\u620f\u53ea\u80fd\u62bc\u603b\u8d44\u91d1\u76844%\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6309\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u7684\u8d4c\u6027\uff0c\u6050\u6015\u4f1a\u9009\u201c\u5c0f\u535a\u5927\u201d\u6e38\u620f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u91cd\u4ed3\u751a\u81f3show hand\u5427\uff1f\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u201c\u5927\u535a\u5c0f\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u5feb\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53ef\u4ee5\u752840%\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff01\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u8bf4\u5230\u8fd9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6295\u8d44\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5982\u679c\u60f3\u589e\u5927\u77ed\u671f\u4ed3\u4f4d\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u5c31\u662f\u8003\u8651\u4e00\u4e0b\u91cd\u4ed3\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u5c0f\u4f46\u662f\u4e0a\u6da8\u6982\u7387\u5927\u7684\u5927\u76d8\u80a1\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6ce2\u52a8\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u5c0f\u76d8\u80a1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u4fdd\u7559\u4f4e\u4ed3\u4f4d\u8fd0\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4ed6\u53ef\u9760\u4e48\uff1f\u6211\u60f3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e00\u5927\u7fa4\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u8bba\u636e\u6765\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6700\u4f18\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u5c31\u7b80\u5355\u4ee5\u5e7f\u53d1\u8bc1\u5238\u7684\u4e00\u5f20\u56fe\u6765\u6d88\u9664\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u7591\u8651\u5427(\u9898\u76ee\u7565\uff0c\u56fe\u4e2d\u4e00\u5171\u4e94\u7ec4\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u7ea2\u8272\u66f2\u7ebf\u768410%\u81ea\u7136\u5c31\u662f\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u7b97\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u7b54\u6848)\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u91d1\u878d\u5708\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a<\/strong>\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u5c31\u50cf\u4e00\u573a\u8d4c\u535a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u83b7\u80dc\u7684\u516c\u5f0f=\u83b7\u80dc\u6982\u7387*\u64cd\u4f5c\u6b21\u6570*\u53c2\u4e0e\u4ed3\u4f4d\u3002\u800c\u8981\u8bf4\u91d1\u878d\u5708\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4e00\u5b9a\u5728\u5176\u4e2d;\u8981\u8bf4\u91d1\u878d\u5708\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f(Kelly formula)\u4e00\u5b9a\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4e5f\u7528\u8fc7\u5b83\u6765\u7ba1\u7406\u8d44\u91d1\u54e6\u3002\u90a3\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u5c1d\u8bd5\u628a\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u5e94\u7528\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u5427\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5047\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u79cd\u76c8\u5229\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u5c31\u4e3e\u4f8b\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u719f\u6089\u7684\u8ffd\u6da8\u505c\u677f\u7b56\u7565\u5427\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u53ea\u4e2a\u80a1\u5373\u5c06\u6da8\u505c\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u4e70\u5165\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u4f60\u662f\u8d85\u7ea7\u9ad8\u624b\uff0c\u4f60\u6bcf\u6b21\u6253\u677f\u90fd\u80fd\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u7684\u6210\u529f\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u662f100%;\u5047\u8bbe\u4f60\u662f\u521a\u5165\u5e02\u7684\u65b0\u624b\uff0c10\u6b21\u6253\u677f9\u6b21\u4e8f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u7684\u6210\u529f\u6982\u7387\u5c31\u662f10%\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u6309\u716710%~100%\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u6210\u529f\u6982\u7387\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6863\uff0c\u6bcf\u969410%\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u4e00\u6863\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u770b\u770b\u5e02\u573a\u597d\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u4e0a\u56fe\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u597d\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u771f\u7684\u8ffd\u6da8\u505c\u67094\u4e2a\u6da8\u505c\u677f\u7684\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u4f60\u670930%\u7684\u628a\u63e1\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fa\u624b\u4e86\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u4eec\u518d\u6765\u770b\u770b\u5e02\u573a\u5dee\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u91cc\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5dee\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4f60\u80fd\u670980%\u7684\u83b7\u80dc\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u8981\u968f\u610f\u8f7b\u6613\u51fa\u624b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u89c9\u5f97\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u6709\u70b9\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u90a3\u8981\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u4e00\u4e0b\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7248\u7684\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u5427(\u7f51\u4f20\u8282\u9009\u81ea\u300a\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u300b)\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n

\n
\n
\n

X=2p-1<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

p=\u6210\u529f\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

X=\u6295\u5165\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u767e\u5206\u6bd4<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\u7b80\u5355\u5427\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u505a\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u573a\u5dee\u7684\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a80%\u6982\u7387\u6253\u677f\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5c31\u4e70\u51652 * 80% – 1 = 60%\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a100%\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5c31\u5168\u4ed3\u5427\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7248\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u601d\u7ef4\u66f4\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6bd4\u539f\u7248\u8fdb\u53d6\u4e9b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u8d54\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u8981\u52a0\u5165\u6b62\u635f\u4f4d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u516c\u5f0f\u4f18\u5316\u6210\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n

\n
\n
\n

f*=(b*(1+p)-1)\u00f7(b*\u6b62\u635f\u5e45\u5ea6)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86100%\u8d62\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u4e0d\u5e94\u4e0b\u6ce8<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8d4c\u573a\u6e38\u620f\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u5bf9\u8d4c\u5f92\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u6e38\u620f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u5e76\u975e\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u51fa\u8001\u5343\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u8d4c\u573a\u5149\u660e\u6b63\u5927\u5730\u4f9d\u9760\u6570\u5b66\u89c4\u5219\u8d5a\u53d6\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u4ece\u67d0\u79cd\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u8d4c\u573a\u662f\u6700\u900f\u660e\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u573a\u6240\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u8fdb\u51fa\u8d4c\u573a\u4e0d\u77e5\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u72c2\u547d\u4e4b\u5f92\uff0c\u4f55\u9e3f\u71ca\u65e9\u6015\u4e5d\u6761\u547d\u90fd\u4e0d\u591f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u4e0d\u662f\u51ed\u7a7a\u8bbe\u60f3\u51fa\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u5f97\u5230\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5728\u8d4c\u573a\u88ab\u5949\u4e3a\u6b63\u795e\uff0c\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8d44\u91d1\u7ba1\u7406\u795e\u5668\u201d\uff0c\u662f\u6bd4\u5c14\u683c\u7f57\u65af\u7b49\u6295\u8d44\u5927\u4f6c\u7684\u5fc3\u5934\u4e4b\u7231\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4f9d\u9760\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u4e5f\u8d5a\u4e86\u4e0d\u5c11\u94f6\u5b50\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

1955\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u5176\u6709\u540d\u7684\u7535\u89c6\u8282\u76ee\uff0c\u53eb\u505a64000 dollar question\u3002\u7b54\u9898\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0d\u65ad\u7b54\u5bf9\u9898\u6765\u7d2f\u79ef\u5956\u91d1\uff0c\u4e00\u65f6\u98ce\u9761\u5168\u7f8e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u65f6\u6bb5\u6536\u89c6\u7387\u8fbe\u523085%\uff0c\u5404\u8def\u5c71\u5be8\u8282\u76ee\u4e0d\u65ad\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u7b54\u79c0\u8fc5\u901f\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u573a\u5916\u4e0b\u6ce8\u6765\u8d4c\u8d62\u5bb6\u7684\u8d4c\u76d8\u3002\u8fd9\u6863\u8282\u76ee\u7684\u5f55\u5236\u662f\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\uff0c\u4e1c\u6d77\u5cb8\u73b0\u573a\u76f4\u64ad\uff0c\u800c\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u5219\u6709\u5ef6\u65f6\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u7206\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u6709\u5173\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\u901a\u8fc7\u7535\u8bdd\u63d0\u524d\u5f97\u77e5\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8d76\u5728\u4e86\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u76f4\u64ad\u524d\u4e0b\u6ce8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u51ef\u5229\u770b\u4e86\u65b0\u95fb\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u60f3\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u5177\u5907\u4e00\u5b9a\u5185\u5e55\u6d88\u606f\u4f46\u662f\u540c\u65f6\u6709\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u6742\u97f3\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\u6700\u5927\u5316\u957f\u671f\u83b7\u76ca\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u5173\u4e8e\u54a8\u8be2\u5b66\u548c\u566a\u97f3\u4f20\u9012\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ee5\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d5b\u9a6c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u96cf\u5f62\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u51ef\u5229\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u5185\u5e55\u6d88\u606f\u7684\u8d5b\u9a6c\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u5f53\u7136\u662f\u653e\u5165\u5168\u90e8\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u4e07\u4e00\u8f93\u6389\u8840\u672c\u65e0\u5f52\u7684\u60e8\u5883\u3002\u800c\u5728\u51ef\u5229\u60f3\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\uff0c\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u65f6\u523b\u8f93\u6389\u5168\u90e8\u8d44\u91d1\u663e\u7136\u662f\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u6700\u5927\u5316\u7d2f\u79ef\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u771f\u6b63\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\u957f\u671f\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53ea\u548c\u8f93\u8d62\u7684\u5c40\u6570\u6709\u5173\uff0c\u800c\u548c\u8f93\u8d62\u7684\u987a\u5e8f\u65e0\u5173\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u6295\u5165\u4ed3\u4f4d\u6bd4\uff0c\u6765\u6700\u5927\u5316\u957f\u671f\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\u6536\u76ca\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

bet = edge \/ odds = \u9884\u671f\u83b7\u76ca\uff0f\u83b7\u76ca\u56de\u62a5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

edge=bp-q<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684edge \u5728\u8d4c\u535a\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a \u83b7\u80dc\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0a\u8d54\u7387 – \u5931\u8d25\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e0a\u6587\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u8d62\u9762\u3002\u5f53edge\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u4e3a\u6b63\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u503c\u5f97\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u6bd4\u8d5b\uff0c\u800cedge\u4e3a0\u6216\u8005\u8d1f\u6570\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8bf4\u660e\u8d4c\u5f92\u4e0d\u5177\u5907edge, \u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0b\u6ce8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u800codds\u5219\u662f\u8d54\u7387\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u5b83\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u6982\u7387\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u662f\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u51ef\u5229\u6a21\u62df\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a\u5c0f\u660e\u73b0\u5728\u6709100\u5143\u7684\u8d77\u59cb\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4ed6\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u8981\u6295\u786c\u5e014\u6b21\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u4ed6\u6295\u51fa\u786c\u5e01\u4e3a\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c06\u83b7\u5f976\u500d\u8d44\u91d1\u56de\u62a5(1\u966a5)\uff0c\u5f53\u4ed6\u6295\u51fa\u786c\u5e01\u4e3a\u53cd\u9762\uff0c\u966a\u5149\u3002\u8bf7\u95ee\u5c0f\u660e\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u5206\u914d\u6bcf\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ce8\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u6700\u5927\u5316\u4ed64\u6b21\u6295\u5e01\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u5462\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\"<\/p>\n

\n

\u6839\u636e\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u6b63\u53cd\u9762\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5404\u4e3a50%\uff0cedge = 0.5*5-0.5 = 2, odds\u4e3a5\uff0c\u6700\u4f73\u4ed3\u4f4d\u4e3a40%\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u6700\u7ec8\u572816\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4e2d(4\u6b21\u6295\u63b7)\uff0c12.96\u548c8100\u51fa\u73b01\u6b21\uff0c64.8\u548c1620\u51fa\u73b04\u6b21\uff0c324\u51fa\u73b06\u6b21\uff0c16\u6b21\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u4e3a324\u3002\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u6b63\u662f\u6700\u5927\u5316\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u7740\u773c\u4e8e\u957f\u671f\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u548c\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5929\u7136\u5c31\u5438\u5f15\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u60f3\u8981\u628a\u5b83\u5e94\u7528\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u5f53\u4e2d\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4f20\u5947\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6Edward Thorp\u8bfb\u4e86\u51ef\u5229\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5148\u662f\u81ea\u5b66Fortran\u7528IBM\u5927\u578b\u673a\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u4e13\u95e8\u7528\u4e8e21\u70b9\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5(\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u540c\u5b66\u53ef\u4ee5\u53bb\u770b\u4e0b\u7535\u5f7121\uff0c\u7535\u5f71\u91cc\u7684card counting\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6b63\u662f\u83b7\u5f97edge\u7684\u6765\u6e90\uff09\uff0c\u5e26\u4e0a\u51ef\u5229\u7684\u5bfc\u5e08\u5728\u62c9\u65af\u7ef4\u52a0\u65af\u5927\u628a\u5438\u91d1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u7ed3\u8bed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u8d62\u5f97\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u6cd5\u5219\uff1a\u4e0d\u8d4c<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6ca1\u6709\u8c01\u80fd\u8bf4\u670d\u4e00\u4e2a\u5815\u843d\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4eba\u683c\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u7406\u6027\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u522b\u518d\u8ff7\u604b\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u8fd0\u6c14\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8d4c\u5f92\u80fd\u591f\u4f9d\u9760\u7684\u662f\u7956\u5b97\u4fdd\u4f51\uff0c\u800c\u8d4c\u573a\u540e\u9762\u7684\u5927\u4f6c\u662f\u9ad8\u65af\u3001\u51ef\u5229\u3001\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5927\u795e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u4f60\u600e\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u5e84\u5bb6\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8bba\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u80fd\u6bd4\u8d4c\u573a\u8001\u677f\u66f4\u7406\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8bba\u6570\u5b66\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u80fd\u6bd4\u8d4c\u573a\u8001\u677f\u8bf7\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u66f4\u7cbe\u901a\u6570\u5b66\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u8bba\u8d4c\u672c\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u80fd\u6bd4\u8d4c\u573a\u8001\u677f\u7684\u672c\u94b1\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u771f\u6b63\u8d62\u5f97\u8fd9\u573a\u8d4c\u5c40\uff0c\u6cd5\u5219\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\uff1a\u4e0d\u8d4c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u8f6c\u81ea\uff1ahttps:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/bmDryxfXnyD12H8OBPJfxQ<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u91cf\u5b50\u5b66\u6d3e\uff08ID\uff1aquantumschool\uff09 \u6ca1\u6709\u8c01\u80fd\u8bf4\u670d\u4e00\u4e2a\u5815\u843d\u7684\u8d4c\u5f92\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4eba\u683c\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u8fd8 … \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f \u51ef\u5229\u516c\u5f0f\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[185],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92174"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=92174"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92174\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92192,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92174\/revisions\/92192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=92174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=92174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=92174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}