{"id":59593,"date":"2021-03-25T22:56:53","date_gmt":"2021-03-25T14:56:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/?p=59593"},"modified":"2021-03-25T23:12:23","modified_gmt":"2021-03-25T15:12:23","slug":"96790a43d0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.zhushiyao.com\/?p=59593","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7f51\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5267\u53d8\uff0c\u5374\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u7bc7\u5982\u6b64\u9053\u660e\u771f\u76f8"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u6765\u6e90\/\u590d\u65e6\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08ID:ChinaInstituteFDU\uff09\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6807\u9898\u300a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u201c\u5173\u952e\u5341\u5e74\u201d\u2014\u2014\u201c\u65b0\u7f57\u9a6c\u5e1d\u56fd\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u65b0\u7684\u4f1f\u5927\u6597\u4e89\u201d\u300b<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

1\/ \u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5929\u547d\uff1a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\u4ea4\u9519<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

3\/ \u201c\u6218\u7565\u673a\u9047\u671f\u201d\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6218\u7565\u6289\u62e9<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

2008\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u66b4\u9732\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u51fa\u53e3<\/strong>\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u901a\u8fc7\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u62c9\u52a8\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u5de5\u5382\u201d\u5927\u8fdb\u5927\u51fa\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6a21\u5f0f\u672c\u8eab\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u96be\u9898\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u7684\u4f4e\u7aef\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6240\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u201c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u201d\u9010\u6e10\u4e27\u5931\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u5de5\u4eba\u6743\u5229\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u6cd5\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\u5f15\u53d1\u5de8\u5927\u4e89\u8bae<\/strong>\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u5357\u65b9\u6cbf\u6d77\u4e00\u5ea6\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u7528\u5de5\u8352\u201d\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4f4e\u7aef\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6d88\u8017\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u539f\u6750\u6599<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3<\/strong>\u7b49\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5355\u7eaf\u4f9d\u9760\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u7684\u4f4e\u7aef\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u5065\u5eb7\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u63a8\u52a8\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u5347\u7ea7\u6362\u4ee3<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

4\/ \u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u590d\u5f52\uff1a\u201c\u65b0\u7684\u4f1f\u5927\u6597\u4e89\u201d<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

5\/ \u201c\u4ea8\u5ef7\u987f\u5fe0\u544a\u201d\uff1a\u201c\u8bef\u5224\u201d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u6839\u6e90<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

6\/ \u7ed3\u8bba<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u6ce8\u91ca\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\n
[1] \u53c2\u89c1\u524d\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u64b0\u5199\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0cKurt M. Campbell and Ely Ratner, \u201cThe China Reckoning: How Beijing Defied Ameri- can Expectations\u201d, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 2, 2018\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0cKurt M. Campbell \u66fe\u7ecf\u5728 2009\u20142013\u5e74\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u4e1c\u4e9a \u548c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u52a9\u7406\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\uff0cEly Ratner \u57282015\u20142017\u5e74\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u526f\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u987e\u95ee\u3002
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[2] M. Taylor Fravel, J. Stapleton Roy, Michael D. Swaine, Susan A. Thornton and Ezra Vogel, \u201cChina is not an Enemy\u201d, The Washington Post, July 3, 2019.<\/span><\/section>\n
[3] James. Fanell, \u201cStay the Course on China: An Open Letter to President Trump\u201d, Journal of Political Risk, July 18, 2019.<\/span><\/section>\n
[4]\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u00b7\u827e\u5229\u68ee\u8457:\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6218:\u4e2d\u7f8e\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u5417?\u300b\uff0c\u9648\u5b9a\u5b9a\u3001\u5085\u5f3a\u8bd1\uff0c\u4e0a\u6d77:\u4e0a\u6d77\u4eba\u6c11\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2019\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[5] \u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u53c2\u89c1\u5f3a\u4e16\u529f:\u300a\u8d23\u4efb\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u548c\u8c10\u4e16\u754c:\u4ece\u4e2d\u975e\u5173\u7cfb\u770b\u201c\u5171\u4eab\u53d1\u5c55\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\u300b\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u300b\uff0c2010\u5e74\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[6] \u5173\u4e8e\u201c\u5341\u4e5d\u5927\u62a5\u544a\u201d\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\uff0c\u53c2\u89c1\u5f3a\u4e16\u529f:\u300a\u54f2\u5b66\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2:\u4ece\u5341\u4e5d\u5927\u62a5\u544a\u770b\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\uff0c\u300a\u5f00\u653e\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\uff0c2018\u5e74\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[7] James.Fanell,\u201cStay the Course on China: An Open Letter to President Trump\u201d.<\/span><\/section>\n
[8]\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u5f17\u6717\u897f\u65af\u00b7\u798f\u5c71:\u300a\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u7ec8\u7ed3\u53ca\u6700\u540e\u7684\u4eba\u300b\uff0c\u9ec4\u80dc\u5f3a\u3001\u8bb8\u94ed\u539f\u8bd1\uff0c\u5317\u4eac:\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2003\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[9]\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u5f17\u6717\u897f\u65af\u00b7\u798f\u5c71\uff1a\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u6784\uff1a21\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6cbb\u7406\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\uff0c\u9ec4\u80dc\u5f3a\u3001\u8bb8\u94ed\u539f\u8bd1\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2007\u5e74\uff1b\u300a\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u8870\u8d25\uff1a\u4ece\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u5230\u6c11\u4e3b\u5168\u7403\u5316\u300b\uff0c\u6bdb\u4fca\u6770\u8bd1\uff0c\u5e7f\u897f\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2015\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[10\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u585e\u7f2a\u5c14\u00b7\u4ea8\u5ef7\u987f:\u300a\u53d8\u5316\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u300b\uff0c\u738b\u51a0\u534e\u7b49\u8bd1\uff0c\u4e0a\u6d77:\u4e0a\u6d77\u4eba\u6c11\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2008\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[11\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u585e\u7f2a\u5c14\u00b7\u4ea8\u5ef7\u987f:\u300a\u6587\u660e\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u91cd\u5efa\u300b\uff0c\u5468\u742a\u7b49\u8bd1\uff0c\u5317\u4eac:\u65b0\u534e\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2010\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
[12]\u3014\u7f8e\u3015\u6cd5\u91cc\u5fb7\u00b7\u624e\u5361\u5229\u4e9a:\u300a\u540e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e16\u754c:\u5927\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b0\u79e9\u5e8f\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\uff0c\u8d75\u5e7f\u6210\u3001\u6797\u6c11\u65fa\u8bd1\uff0c\u5317\u4eac:\u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2009\u5e74\u3002
[13]\u00a0Kishore Mahbubani, Has China Won? Chinese Challenge to American Primacy, New York: Public Affairs Hachette Book\u00a0Group, 2020.<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
<\/section>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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